Sometimes we spend so much time looking at the challenges that cities  face today, that we forget to look forward into the future and imagine  what cities could be.
This week What Matters,  is running a series of interesting thought pieces under the banner "How  Big Can Cities Get?"  Contributors include Richard Register, founder of  Ecocity Builders; Dr. Dickson Despommier, from Columbia University and president of the Vertical Farm Project; and Stewart Brand, co-founder of The Long Now Foundation.  Not all of their ideas will be entirely new - we've all heard about  "global cities" for example - but extrapolated 50 years into the future  even old ideas open up interesting questions. Some of the best moments  in these essays are the glimpses they provide of how cities could become  - not just "less bad" - but truly positive forces both socially and  ecologically. [An idea that I explore in my earlier entry on The Living City Challenge.]  I've posted a few of my favourite excerpts after the jump. 
By Richard Register
Today’s cities have dense urban centers ringed by ever-expanding,  car-dependent, undifferentiated miles of inefficient urban and suburban  sprawl. This structure is environmentally unsustainable and not  conducive to pleasurable human activity. We need to break up that sprawl  into a galaxy of cities, towns, and villages. Doing so would free up  vast swaths of land for parks, agriculture, and wildlife, all of which  would be easily accessible to people without having to resort to long,  slow, polluting car rides. 
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Welcome to healthy shrinking cities. We in America may be at the turning  point in that wave of urban sprawl that began to engulf the countryside  after the Second World War, powered by US government policies including  subsidized single-family housing, massive highway-building and very  cheap gasoline. Over the following decades, cities sloshed ever outward,  in California for example, right up against the Sierra Foothills. 
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A city that is designed around the dimensions of the human body [rather  than those of the private automobile] and its need for clean air and  water as well as healthy food holds tremendous potential to improve the  lives of its citizens as well as the health of the planet. Most  environmentalists believe the best we can do with cities is to make them  less damaging. In fact, well-designed cities could be net contributors  to soil building and biodiversity, making them a benefit to people and  nature simultaneously. 
From  Cities alive!
By Dickson Despommier
What is needed, in my opinion, is a radical change in urban philosophy;  one that is based on natural processes and mimics the best that nature  has to offer with respect to balance. The balanced ecosystem is often  referred to as a “closed loop” entity: everything the system needs to  thrive—water, food, energy, et cetera—already exists within it (rather  than being trucked in!) and is constantly recycled. I would encourage  all city planners and developers to take a long, hard look into the ways  in which ecosystems behave. It is the model for how we should be  handling things like water management, energy utilization, and the  recycling of waste into usable resources.
In an ecosystem, assemblages of plants and animals are linked together  by a common thread: the sharing of nutrients, the transfer of energy  from sunlight to plants and then to animals, and the recycling of all  the elements needed to ensure the survival of the next generation of  those living within the boundaries of that geographically defined area.  With available technologies, we can now bio-mimic an ecosystem’s best  features. If cities learned to take advantage of these new technologies,  then we would be well on our way to sustainability into the next  millennium.
By Robert Neuwirth
Most of the urban centers in these fast growing meta-cities have one  very visible trait in common. Each is ringed by dense, ever-expanding  squatter communities where large portions of the city’s population—and  economy—reside. Squatter communities and shantytowns are now home to 800  million people and are projected to grow by 16,000 people every day for  the foreseeable future.
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Is this a vision of a planet gone haywire, of cities grown so big that  they cross over to the dark side? What will the quality of life be like  in these high-density, low-infrastructure environments? How will these  increasingly dense and unnatural cities allocate resources, define  development, or manage the environment? How big can they grow?
To answer these questions, it’s important to understand that it’s not  size, density, or material conditions that are the true issue. The  future will be determined by the extent to which these massive  agglomerations take the idea of democracy seriously. Squatter cities and  informal markets will represent an increasing portion of the population  and the economy. It will simply not be possible to ignore them as in  the past.
As S’bu Zikode, leader of the courageous South African squatter  organizing group Abahlali baseMjondolo put it in a recent speech: “One  cannot begin any meaningful discussion of the urban crisis while the  poor continue to be excluded form the conversations that are meant to  build the very new urban order that is for all. This discussion can only  begin once the dispossessed, those who do not count, count.” In a DIY  environment, the urban future calls for deep democracy. Only then will  the slipknot issues of development, land, and the environment be  confronted with diligence, justice, and equity.
 
